Skip to main navigation menu Skip to main content Skip to site footer

Demographic Trends and Dividends in the Russian Federation and the Kyrgyz Republic

The Rule of Law: Social and Cultural Implications

Abstract

The article is dedicated to the demographic trends and the demographic dividend in the Russian Federation and the Kyrgyz Republic for the years of 1950-2015. Based on the UN database, there has been a gradual decrease in the total birth rate during 65 years in the Russian Federation and the Kyrgyz Republic. However, in the Kyrgyz Republic, this number was almost twice its level in the Russian Federation. The overall demographic burden was significantly lower in the Russian Federation from 1960 to 2005, and its decrease in both countries was due to the decrease in the demographic burden of children. Since 1960, and during the following decades, the demographic burden of elderly people in the Russian Federation began to increase rapidly, but in the Kyrgyz Republic, the decrease in demography was due to changes in the age structure of the population. In the result of these trends, the share of the working-age population in both countries has steadily increased, creating favourable conditions for the demographic dividend. Russia and Kyrgyzstan, due to the high share of the working-age population over the past 55 years, have received a demographic dividend. Labour migration from Kyrgyzstan to Russia makes a significant contribution to the demographic dividend of both countries.

Keywords

Total Birth Rate, Demographic Burden, Demographic Transition, Demographic Dividend, Depopulation

pdf

References

Abramova, I. (2014). Demographic dividend and the future development of the mankind. Retrieved on 05 April 2019 from, https://ru.exrus.eu/Demografichesky-dividend-i-budushcheye-razvitiye-chelovechestva-id53ae8f70ae20153b7d347e7f
Akhmetshin, E.M., Sharafutdinov, R.I., Gerasimov, V.O., Dmitrieva, I.S., Puryaev, A.S., Ivanov, E.A., Miheeva, & N.M. (2018). Research of human capital and its potential management on the example of regions of the Russian Federation. Journal of Entrepreneurship Education, 21(2), 1528-2651-21-2-172.
Bloom, D., & Williamson, J. (1998). Demographic trends and economic miracles in emerging Asia. World Bank Economic Review, 12(3), 419-455.
Bloom, D., Canning, D., & Sevilla, J. (2003). The demographic dividend: a new perspective on the economic consequences of population change. In Population Matters Monographs MR-1274 (pp. 18-23). Santa Monica: RAND.
Bolt, J., Timmer, M., & Van Zanden, J. (2014). GDP per capita since 1820. How Was Life? In Global Well-being since 1820 (pp. 57-72). Paris: OECD Publishing.
Davis, K. (1945). The world demographic transition. Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Sciences, 237, 1-11.
Demeny, P. (1968). Early fertility decline in Austria-Hungary: a lesson in demographic transition. Daedalus, 97, 502-522.
Dovidauskas, S., Okada, I.A., Iha, M.H., Cavallini, A.G., De Oliveira, M.A. (2018). Approach on detection of situation of potential risk to health, related to water quality: an example. Periodico Tche Quimica, 15(29), 123-135.
Dzhunushaliyev, D.D. (1994). Kyrgyzstan in the years of reforms from above (1950-1991). Bishkek: Kyrgyz Russian Slavic University named after the First President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin.
Egeberg, M., & Stigen, I.M. (2018). Explaining government bureaucrats’ behaviour: On the relative importance of organizational position, demographic background, and political attitudes. Public Policy and Administration. Retrieved from https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0952076718814901
Gribble, J. (2012). South Korea’s demographic dividend. Population Reference Bureau. Retrieved on 05 April 2019 from, https://www.prb.org/south-korea-population/
Gribble, J., & Bremner, J. (2012). Achieving a demographic dividend. Population Bulletin, 27(2), 154-167.
Iontsev, V.A. (2007). Population economics. Moscow: INFRA-М.
Iontsev, V.A., & Prokhorova, Yu.А. (2014). International migration in the context of demographic theory. Standard of Living of the Population of the Russian Regions, 193(3), 83-91.
Ivanov, S. (2017). Determinants of demographic transition in the global South. Demographic Review, 4(2), 6-52.
Klum, D. (2016). Demographic shocks. Finance and Development, 53(1), 6-11.
Kyrgyzstan report: National Study on Child Mortality and Inequalities. (2009). Bishkek: UNICEF. Retrieved from https://www.unicef.org/socialpolicy/files/Kyrgastan_RussianChildPovertyReport.pdf
Landry, A. (1934). La revolution demographique. Paris: INED.
Lee, R., & Mason, A. (2010). Fertility, human capital, and economic growth over the demographic transition. European Journal of Population, 26(2), 159-182.
Luoma, K. (2016). South Korea’s demographic dividend: a success story. Population Education. Retrieved on 10 April 2019 from, https://populationeducation.org/south-koreas-demographic-dividend-success-story/
Mason, A., & Tomoko, K. (2008). East Asian economic development: two demographic dividends. Journal of Asian Economics, 19, 389-399.
Notestein, F. (1945). Population – the long view. In T.W. Schultz (Ed.). Food for the World (pp. 37-57). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Nur, U.D. (2016). Post-war restructuring of the Kyrgyz economy. Journal of Kyrgyz Russian Slavic University named after the First President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin, 16(12), 58-61.
O’Sullivan, J., & Martin, R. (2016). The risk of misrepresenting the demographic dividend. N-IUSS. Retrieved on 11 April 2019 from, http://www.niussp.org/article/the-risk-of-misrepresenting-the-demographic-dividendle-risque-dune-interpretation-erronee-du-dividende-demographique/
Reyer, D. (2017). Economic and social consequences of the demographic transition. Demographic Review, 1(4), 41-67.
Riazantsev, S. (2016). Economic and social consequences of the demographic transition. Demographic review. Retrieved on 06 April 2019 from, https://globalaffairs.ru/valday/Trudovaya-migratciya-iz-Tcentralnoi-Azii-v-Rossiyu-v-kontekste-ekonomicheskogo-krizisa-18333
Silagadze, A. (2017). History of Georgian economic thought: Relation between the center and the region. Bulletin of the Georgian National Academy of Sciences, 11(4), 138-144.
Silagadze, A. (2018). Some aspects of economic ideas in Shota Rustaveli’s “the knight in the panther skin”. Bulletin of the Georgian National Academy of Sciences, 12(1), 161-167.
Single Report on Migration about the Kyrgyz Republic. (2014). Retrieved on 07 April 2019 from, https://www.auca.kg/uploads/Tian%20Shan%20Policy%20Center/TSPC%20Publications/Unified%20Migr%20Report_2014.pdf
United Nations. (2011). World population prospects: the 2010 revision. Prospects after 2010. Retrieved on 15 April 2019 from, http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/publications/pdf/trends/WPP2010/WPP2010_Volume-I_Comprehensive-Tables.pdf
Van de Kaa, D. (1987). Europe’s Second Demographic Transition. Population Bulletin, 42(1), 1-59.
Vasin, S. (2008). From depopulation with a dividend to the depopulation with no dividend. Demoscope Weekly. Retrieved on 14 April 2019 from, http://www.demoscope.ru/weekly/2008/0317/tema02.php
Vishnevskiy, A.G. (1982). Reproduction of the population and society: history, modernity, view to the future. Moscow: Finansy i Statistika.
Vishnevskiy, A.G. (2014). Demographic revolution changes the reproductive strategy of Homo Sapiens species. Demographic Review, 1(1), 6-33.
World Bank. (2015). In search of a new "silver age" in Russia: factors and consequences of population ageing. Moscow: Alex Publishers.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.