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COVID- 19 and Economic Loss of First Phase of (21- Day) Lockdown in India

Abstract

To curb Covid-19 spread, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has announced a 21-day nationwide lockdown on 23 March 2020. The present study makes an attempt to estimate the state-wise and economic activity-wise economic loss of 21- day lockdown in India. The data on Net State Value Added (NSVA) by economic activity was collected for five years from the Reserve Bank of India. It was found that the percentage of the daily loss of Net State Value Added (NSVA) was considerably higher for the states of Chandigarh, Delhi and Karnataka. The manufacturing sector was expected to be the highest loser, followed by real estate, ownership of dwelling and professional services. In absolute terms, the loss was prominent in Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka. It is worth mentioning here that what could be the magnitude of the impact of a complete social and economic shutdown may not be easy to estimate, but it is likely to be far more severe.

Keywords

COVID- 19, Lockdown, Economic Loss, Net State Value Added, Economic Activity, Manufacturing Sector, India

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